{"id":2106,"date":"2011-11-17T20:35:10","date_gmt":"2011-11-18T01:35:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.alexblock.net\/?p=2106"},"modified":"2011-11-17T20:35:10","modified_gmt":"2011-11-18T01:35:10","slug":"the-gated-washington-region","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.alexblock.net\/blog\/2011\/11\/17\/the-gated-washington-region\/","title":{"rendered":"The gated Washington region"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.alexblock.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/TheGatedCity.jpg\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" title=\"TheGatedCity\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.alexblock.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/TheGatedCity.jpg?resize=200%2C200\" alt=\"\" width=\"200\" height=\"200\" \/><\/a>The Gated City<\/em> in action: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/business\/economy\/dc-area-is-behind-the-curve-on-housing-and-jobs-forecasts\/2011\/11\/08\/gIQA8p9SUN_story.html?tid=pm_business_pop\">Today&#8217;s Washington Post<\/a> on the inadequacy of the region&#8217;s housing supply in meeting demand. In short, Ryan Avent <a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Gated-City-Kindle-Single-ebook\/dp\/B005KGATLO\" target=\"_blank\">called it<\/a>. The region is producing jobs, people want to move here, yet it hasn&#8217;t been able to produce enough housing to meet that demand. From the <em>Post<\/em> article:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cIf businesses find they can\u2019t have their workers live near where they can work, they\u2019re going to go somewhere else. And the workers themselves might also go somewhere else,\u201d said <a href=\"http:\/\/policy.gmu.edu\/tabid\/86\/default.aspx?uid=22\">Lisa A. Sturtevant<\/a>, an assistant professor at George Mason\u2019s school of public policy, who co-authored the study with Stephen S. Fuller, director of the university\u2019s <a href=\"http:\/\/cra.gmu.edu\/\">Center for Regional Analysis<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Their research showed that the Washington area, defined by 22 counties and cities, is expected to add 1.05 million jobs through 2030. More than a third of those jobs will be in professional and technical sectors, but significant growth also is expected in administrative, service and health-related jobs that often pay lower wages. If those numbers hold true, that boom will require as many as 731,457 additional units to house workers in the jurisdictions where they work, the study found.<\/p>\n<p>That means the region would need to produce about 38,000 new housing units per year, \u201can annual pace of construction never before seen in the region and below what local jurisdictions have accounted for in their comprehensive plans,\u201d the study concludes. Data show that over the past 19 years, the region has averaged 28,600 building permits a year; last year, about 15,000 building permits were issued in the region.<\/p>\n<p>In addition, much of the new housing needs to be multi-family units (to make efficient use of available land) and affordable rentals (to put it within reach of younger workers and those with lower salaries), George Mason\u2019s researchers argue.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>For more on Fuller and his work, see Lydia DePillis&#8217;s April <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtoncitypaper.com\/articles\/40709\/the-economics-of-stephen-fuller\/\" target=\"_blank\"><em>City Paper<\/em> profile<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>I must, however, take issue with the <em>Post<\/em>&#8216;s framing of the issue.\u00a0 From the second paragraph in the article:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>With that growth comes a vexing problem: How do you house those new workers in ways that are both affordable and don\u2019t worsen the soul-crushing commutes that already plague the region\u2019s residents?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The problem here isn&#8217;t vexing at all.\u00a0 Nor, frankly, is the solution.\u00a0 The solution is rather obvious: we need to grow up instead of out.\u00a0 We need to add density. We need infill development around existing infrastructure assets. Admittedly, implementing that solution is certainly more vexing than simply stating it aloud, but let&#8217;s not let the challenge of implementation obscure the diagnosis of the root problem.<a href=\"http:\/\/www.alexblock.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/TheGatedCity.jpg\"><br \/>\n<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Gated City in action: Today&#8217;s Washington Post on the inadequacy of the region&#8217;s housing supply in meeting demand. In short, Ryan Avent called it. The region is producing jobs, people want to move here, yet it hasn&#8217;t been able to produce enough housing to meet that demand. From the Post article: \u201cIf businesses find [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[448,451,111,140,184],"class_list":["post-2106","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-dc","tag-density","tag-economics","tag-housing","tag-sprawl"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pHcGQ-xY","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.alexblock.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2106","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.alexblock.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.alexblock.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.alexblock.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.alexblock.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2106"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.alexblock.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2106\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2111,"href":"https:\/\/www.alexblock.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2106\/revisions\/2111"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.alexblock.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2106"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.alexblock.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2106"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.alexblock.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2106"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}